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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) CO., LTD (SZSE:002541)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) CO., LTD (SZSE:002541)?

股票下跌和堅實的基本面:市場對鴻路鋼構股份有限公司(SZSE:002541)錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/10 02:45

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) (SZSE:002541) has had a rough month with its share price down 12%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) is:

13% = CN¥1.2b ÷ CN¥9.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.13.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To begin with, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 7.4%. This certainly adds some context to Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s decent 20% net income growth seen over the past five years.

We then compared Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002541 Past Earnings Growth June 10th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is 002541 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 002541 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

In Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 15% (or a retention ratio of 85%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Moreover, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 18%. As a result, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 13% for future ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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