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Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300576) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

深センロンダフォトセンシティブサイエンス&テクノロジー株式会社(SZSE:300576)の株価が28%急騰しても、完全に足し算にはなりません

Simply Wall St ·  06/10 18:36

Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300576) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 14.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300576 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 10th 2024

What Does Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 15% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 35% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology's P/S

Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shenzhen RongDa Photosensitive Science & Technology (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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