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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Lepu Biopharma Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2157) 26% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 11 21:28

Lepu Biopharma Co., Ltd. (HKG:2157) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 23% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Lepu Biopharma may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 30.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios under 11x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2157 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 12th 2024

How Lepu Biopharma Has Been Performing

Lepu Biopharma certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lepu Biopharma will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lepu Biopharma would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been anywhere near as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 64% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 53% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Lepu Biopharma's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Lepu Biopharma's P/S

Lepu Biopharma's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into Lepu Biopharma shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Lepu Biopharma that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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