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Don't Race Out To Buy Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 12 18:57

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Accordingly, Lafang ChinaLtd investors that purchase the stock on or after the 17th of June will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 17th of June.

The company's upcoming dividend is CN¥0.23 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of CN¥0.23 per share to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Lafang ChinaLtd has a trailing yield of 2.0% on the current share price of CN¥11.51. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether Lafang ChinaLtd can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Last year Lafang ChinaLtd paid out 92% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Thankfully its dividend payments took up just 26% of the free cash flow it generated, which is a comfortable payout ratio.

It's good to see that while Lafang ChinaLtd's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

Click here to see how much of its profit Lafang ChinaLtd paid out over the last 12 months.

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SHSE:603630 Historic Dividend June 12th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Lafang ChinaLtd's 14% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past seven years, Lafang ChinaLtd has increased its dividend at approximately 8.3% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Lafang ChinaLtd is already paying out 92% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

The Bottom Line

Has Lafang ChinaLtd got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 92% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Lafang ChinaLtd's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. Bottom line: Lafang ChinaLtd has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

So if you're still interested in Lafang ChinaLtd despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Lafang ChinaLtd (1 is a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying the shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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