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Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002304) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002304) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

洋河股份(SZSE:002304)的股票最近表现不佳,但财务前景看好:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 19:39

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery (SZSE:002304) has had a rough three months with its share price down 14%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's ROE in this article.

江苏洋河酒厂(SZSE:002304)在过去的三个月里股价跌了14%。然而,股票价格通常是长期受公司财务状况影响的,而在这种情况下,公司财务状况看起来相当可观。特别是,我们决定在本文中研究江苏洋河酒厂的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东应考虑的重要因素是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们投资的资本如何被有效地再投资。简单来说,它用于评估公司与其股权资本相关的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery is:

因此,根据上述公式,江苏洋河酒厂的roe为:

18% = CN¥10b ÷ CN¥58b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

18% = CN¥100 billion ÷ CN¥580 billion (基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.18 in profit.

“回报”是公司在过去一年中获得的收入。一种概念化这一点的方法是,对于每1元股东资本,公司的利润为0.18元。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定ROE作为评估公司未来收益的有效指标。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长所保留的利润量,从而给我们一个关于公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他条件都相同,既具有较高ROE又具有较高利润保留的公司通常是增长率更高的公司,相比之下没有这些特点的公司会更低。

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's Earnings Growth And 18% ROE

江苏洋河酒厂的盈利增长和18%的roe

At first glance, Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery seems to have a decent ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 16%. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the decent growth of 6.3% seen over the past five years by Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery.

乍一看,江苏洋河酒厂的roe似乎还不错。与行业平均roe大致相同的16%相比,我们发现行业板块也如此。因此,这很可能为江苏洋河酒厂过去五年内看到的6.3%的不错增长奠定了基础。

We then compared Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 15% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们比较了江苏洋河酒厂的净利润增长与行业发现,公司的增长率低于同一5年期的行业平均增长率15%,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002304 Past Earnings Growth June 12th 2024
SZSE:002304过去的盈利增长2024年6月12日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者需要判断的下一件事是,预期的盈利增长,或其缺乏,是否已经融入股价。然后,这有助于他们确定股票是否面临光明或黯淡的未来。如果你想知道江苏洋河酒厂的估值,请查看此环比与该行业的股票市盈率的比较。

Is Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

江苏洋河酒厂在利用其利润方面是否有效?

While Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery has a three-year median payout ratio of 59% (which means it retains 41% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

尽管江苏洋河酒厂的三年中位数红利支付率为59%(这意味着公司保留了41%的利润),但公司过去仍然看到了相当多的盈利增长,这意味着其高红利支付率没有阻碍其增长能力。

Besides, Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 69%. Still, forecasts suggest that Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's future ROE will rise to 21% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,江苏洋河酒厂已经连续十年或更长时间支付红利。这表明公司致力于与股东分享利润。我们最新的分析师数据显示,未来三年公司的红利支付比率预计约为69%。尽管如此,预测表明江苏洋河酒厂的未来roe将提高到21%,即使公司的红利支付比率不太会有所变化。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery has some positive attributes. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely due to the company reinvesting its earnings at a pretty high rate of return. However, given the high ROE, we do think that the company is reinvesting a small portion of its profits. This could likely be preventing the company from growing to its full extent. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们认为江苏洋河酒厂具有一些积极的特点。正如我们之前看到的,其盈利增长是可观的,这很可能是由于公司利润以相当高的回报率再投资。然而,鉴于高roe,我们认为公司在再投资利润的一小部分。这可能会阻止公司实现全部增长。虽然如此,最新的分析师预测显示公司将继续看到盈利的扩张。要了解更多关于公司的最新分析师预测,请查看此公司分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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