Those holding Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002586) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Has Been Performing
For instance, Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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How Is Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 3.3% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group's P/S
Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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