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Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass (SZSE:300395) A Risky Investment?

Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass (SZSE:300395) A Risky Investment?

菲利華(SZSE:300395)是否是一個有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/13 18:43

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300395) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由Berkshire Hathaway的Charlie Munger支持的外部基金經理Li Lu說:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是您是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”當我們考慮企業的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的負債使用情況,因爲負債過重可能會導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co.,Ltd.(SZSE:300395)使用負債。但是,股東們應該擔心其使用負債嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

負債是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人的債務,那麼它就處於債權人的掌控之下。在最壞的情況下,如果企業無法償還其債權人的債務,它可能會破產。但是,一種更常見的情況(但仍然很昂貴)是企業必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東,僅僅爲了控制債務。然而,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本投資以高回報率增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮企業的債務使用情況時,我們首先考慮現金和債務的情況。

What Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass's Net Debt?

Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass had CN¥412.7m of debt, up from CN¥96.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥970.9m in cash, so it actually has CN¥558.2m net cash.

正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年3月底,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的債務爲人民幣4.127億元,而去年同期爲人民幣9630萬元。單擊圖片以獲取更多詳細信息。然而,它的資產負債表顯示它持有人民幣9.709億元的現金,因此它實際上擁有人民幣5.582億元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300395 Debt to Equity History June 13th 2024
SZSE:300395資產負債歷史記錄2024年6月13日

How Strong Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' Balance Sheet?

Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass had liabilities of CN¥1.10b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥396.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥970.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.08b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥553.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看出,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的負債爲人民幣11億元,應於一年內到期,並且還有人民幣3,961萬元的長期負債。然而它有人民幣9.709億元的現金以及15億元應於未來12個月內到期的應收賬款。因此,它實際上擁有人民幣5.532億元的淨現金。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This surplus suggests that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這個盈餘表明Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass有一個保守的資產負債表,可能很容易消除其債務。簡而言之,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

But the other side of the story is that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass saw its EBIT decline by 9.1% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但是故事的另一面是,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的EBIT在過去一年中下降了9.1%。如果收益率繼續以那個速度下降,該公司管理其債務壓力的難度可能會增加。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯位置。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass是否可以隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。(如果您想看看專業人士的想法,您可能會發現此免費報告對分析師利潤預測感興趣。)

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是,我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲企業無法用紙上利潤支付債務,它需要真正的現金。Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass可能在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但查看企業如何將其利潤(利潤前利息和稅前利潤)轉化爲自由現金流也很有趣,因爲這將影響它的控制和管理債務的需要和能力。在過去的三年中,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass燒掉了很多現金。儘管投資者毫無疑問地期望不久之後情況會有所好轉,但它顯然意味着其債務使用更具風險。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has net cash of CN¥558.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

雖然我們能夠理解投資者對債務的擔憂,但您應該記住,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass有人民幣5.582億元的淨現金,並且比其負債更流通的資產更多。因此,我們對Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的債務使用沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯位置。但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如-Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass有1個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該了解。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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