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We Think Acadia Healthcare Company (NASDAQ:ACHC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Acadia Healthcare Company (NASDAQ:ACHC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司(纳斯达克:ACHC)在负债方面承担了一定风险。
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 14:00

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACHC) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格所支持的外部基金经理李璐毫不掩饰地说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险性时,我们总是想看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载会导致破产。 我们可以看到,阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司(纳斯达克:ACHC)在其业务中确实使用了债务。 但真正的问题是这个债务是否使公司变得风险高发。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当债务和其他负债无法轻易实现自由现金流或者以有吸引力的价格筹资时,它们就会对企业构成风险。在最糟糕的情况下,公司无法偿付债权人而破产。然而,更常见的(但仍然昂贵)情况是,公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东的利益,只为控制债务。然而,在消除稀释的情况下,债务可以成为需要以高回报率投资增长的企业非常好的工具。当我们思考一家公司的债务使用情况时,首先看的是现金和债务。

What Is Acadia Healthcare Company's Debt?

阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Acadia Healthcare Company had US$1.86b of debt, an increase on US$1.42b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$77.3m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.78b.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但它显示出截至2024年3月,阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司负有18.6亿美元的债务,较一年前的14.2亿美元增加。然而,因为它有77.3百万美元的现金储备,所以它的净债务较少,大约为17.8亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ACHC Debt to Equity History June 14th 2024
纳斯达克GS:ACHC股本负债率历史记录,截至2024年6月14日。

A Look At Acadia Healthcare Company's Liabilities

我们可以从最近的资产负债表上看到,阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司面临着4.823亿美元的短期到期负债和20.6亿美元的长期到期负债。与之相对的是,它有7,730万美元的现金以及价值4.711亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多1.99亿美元。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Acadia Healthcare Company had liabilities of US$482.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.06b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$77.3m as well as receivables valued at US$471.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.99b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司的这种赤字并不太糟,因为该公司价值61.5亿美元,因此如果有需要,它可能会筹集足够的资本来支持其资产负债表。然而,仍然有必要仔细研究其偿付债务的能力。

This deficit isn't so bad because Acadia Healthcare Company is worth US$6.15b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司的债务与剩余现金流量比率为2.7,其税前利润涵盖了其利息支出5.9倍。这表明虽然债务水平较高,但我们不会认为它们是有问题的。阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司可以通过停止借入而继续以约14%左右的速度增长税前利润来消灭其债务,这是一种方式。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上最了解债务。但未来的收益,尤其是未来的收益,将决定阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,你可以查看这份免费报告,了解分析师的利润预测。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Acadia Healthcare Company has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.9 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One way Acadia Healthcare Company could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 14%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Acadia Healthcare Company's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最后,尽管税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但银行家只接受现金。因此,逻辑上看,要看哪一个税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司总共记录了负的自由现金流。债务通常在负自由现金流的公司手中更昂贵,也几乎总是更加风险。股东们应该希望有所改善。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Acadia Healthcare Company recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司将税前利润转化为自由现金流的困难使我们开始怀疑它的资产负债表实力,但我们考虑的其他数据点相对来说还是瞒好。例如,其税前利润增长率相对较高。我们还应该指出,像阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司这样的医疗健康行业公司通常会在没有问题的情况下使用债务。从上面提到的所有角度来看,似乎阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司作为一种有债务风险的投资,但这并不一定是坏事,因为杠杆可以提高股本回报率,但这也是需要注意的问题。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,这些风险很难发现。每个公司都会面临这些风险,我们已经发现阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司的一个风险警示,你需要知道。

Our View

我们的观点

Acadia Healthcare Company's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its EBIT growth rate is relatively strong. We should also note that Healthcare industry companies like Acadia Healthcare Company commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Acadia Healthcare Company is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Acadia Healthcare Company you should know about.

阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司将EBIt转化为自由现金流的困难让我们对其资产负债表的实力产生了疑虑,但我们所考虑的其他数据点相对来说是可挽救的。例如,其EBIt增长率相对较强。我们还应该注意到,像阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司这样的医疗保健行业公司通常会使用债务而没有问题。从上面提到的各个角度来看,我们认为阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司作为一种有风险的投资,其资产负债表的债务状况是关注的重点。但这并不一定是坏事,因为杠杆可以提高股权回报率,但这是需要了解的事情。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要关注的方面。但是,并不是所有的投资风险都在资产负债表内,离它还很远。这些风险很难发现,每家公司都有这样的风险,对于阿卡迪亚医疗保健公司,我们已经发现了1个警告信号,您应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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