share_log

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603685) Shares

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 14 18:04

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.1x in the Electrical industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603685) P/S ratio of 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603685 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 14th 2024

What Does Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 2.9% drop in revenue in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Zhejiang Chenfeng Technology (2 are a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment