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CRRC Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601766) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

CRRC Corporation Limited's (SHSE:601766) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

中國中車有限公司(SHSE:601766)表現良好,但基本面各異:股票有明確的方向嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 19:19

CRRC's (SHSE:601766) stock is up by 6.1% over the past three months. Given that the stock prices usually follow long-term business performance, we wonder if the company's mixed financials could have any adverse effect on its current price price movement Particularly, we will be paying attention to CRRC's ROE today.

中國中車(SHSE:601766)股價在過去三個月內上漲了6.1%。考慮到股價通常會跟隨長期業務表現,我們想知道該公司的複合財務數據是否會對其當前的股價走勢產生不利影響。特別是,我們今天將關注中國中車的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東必須考慮股本回報率或ROE,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。 簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CRRC is:

因此,根據上述公式,該公司CRRC的roe爲:

7.6% = CN¥15b ÷ CN¥198b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.6%=CN ¥15億÷CN ¥198億(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.08.

“回報”是稅後收益的金額,在過去的12個月中賺取。 這意味着對於其股東的每1元投資,該公司可以產生0.08元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量公司利潤的效率如何。基於公司選擇再投資或保留多少利潤,我們隨後能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。總的來說,在其他條件相等的情況下,具有高ROE和利潤保留的公司的增長率比沒有這些特徵的公司要高。

CRRC's Earnings Growth And 7.6% ROE

中國中車的盈利增長和7.6%的roe。

On the face of it, CRRC's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.8%, we may spare it some thought. Having said that, CRRC's net income growth over the past five years is more or less flat. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.

表面上看,中國中車的roe沒有什麼可談的。然而,考慮到該公司的roe與平均行業roe相似,我們可以對其進行一些思考。儘管如此,過去五年中國中車的淨利潤增長更或多或少保持不變。請記住,該公司的roe並不是非常高。因此,這也可能是公司收益保持平穩的原因之一。

We then compared CRRC's net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 9.4% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們將中國中車的淨利潤增長與同一5年期間的行業平均增長率進行了比較,發現行業的平均增長率達到了9.4%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601766 Past Earnings Growth June 14th 2024
SHSE:601766過去的收益增長2024年6月14日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about CRRC's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的依據,在很大程度上與其盈利增長掛鉤。投資者應該設法確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論情況如何,都已定價。然後,這可以幫助他們判斷股票是面臨光明還是黯淡的未來。如果您想了解中國中車的估值,請查看其市盈率相對於行業的指標。

Is CRRC Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中國中車的盈利再投資是否高效?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 49% (implying that the company keeps 51% of its income) over the last three years, CRRC has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管在過去的三年中具有正常的中位數支付比率爲49%(暗示公司保留其收入的51%),但正如我們上面所看到的,中國中車的收益增長微不足道。因此,可能還有其他原因來解釋那方面的缺乏。例如,業務可能正在下滑。

Additionally, CRRC has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 46% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 8.7%.

此外,中國中車已經連續支付股息至少十年,這意味着即使意味着幾乎沒有盈利增長,公司管理層也決心支付股息。在研究最新的分析師共識數據時,我們發現該公司有望在未來三年內繼續支付其利潤的46%左右。因此,預計該公司未來的roe也不會有太大的變化,分析師預測roe爲8.7%。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by CRRC can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們認爲中國中車所展示的表現可以有很多種解釋。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但由於roe較低,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中獲益。低收益增長證實了我們的理論。即使如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師們預計該公司的收益增長率將有很大的提高。了解更多有關該公司未來收益增長預測的信息,請查看該公司的分析師預測的免費報告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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