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Is Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel (SZSE:002085) A Risky Investment?

Is Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel (SZSE:002085) A Risky Investment?

萬豐奧威(SZSE:002085)是否是一項高風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/16 20:20

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002085) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

伯克希爾·哈撒韋集團的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄毫不隱瞞地表示:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動性,而是是否會遭受資本永久性損失。”因此,聰明的資金似乎知道,通常涉及破產的債務是評估公司風險的一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎股份有限公司(SZSE:002085)確實在業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心它的債務使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

在企業無法輕鬆履行債務的義務時(要麼通過自由現金流,要麼通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本),債務和其他負債就成爲企業的風險。資本主義的重要組成部分是“創造性破壞”過程,其中銀行家無情地清算失敗的企業。然而,更常見的(但仍然痛苦)情況是必須以低價募集新股權資本,因此永久性地稀釋股東權益。當然,有很多公司利用債務來資助其業務增長,而不會產生任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是查看公司的現金和債務情況。

What Is Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's Debt?

浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎的債務是多少?

As you can see below, Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel had CN¥4.33b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥5.39b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.92b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.41b.

正如下面所示,浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎有43.3億元的債務,比去年同期的53.9億元減少。但是,由於它擁有19.2億元的現金儲備,因此其淨債務較少,約爲24.1億元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002085 Debt to Equity History June 17th 2024
SZSE:002085債務股本比歷史-2024年6月17日

How Healthy Is Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's Balance Sheet?

仔細觀察最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎有69.6億元的負債,在12個月內到期,並有118億元的負債到期。抵銷這些義務,它有19.2億元的現金以及124億元的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多183億元。由於浙江萬豐奧威公開交易的股票總價值達309億元,因此這種程度的負債似乎不會對其構成重大威脅。但是有足夠的負債,我們當然建議股東在未來繼續監督資產負債表。

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel had liabilities of CN¥6.96b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.18b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.92b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.38b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.83b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

當我們分析浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎債務的時候,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的地方。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎是否能隨時間加強其資產負債表實力。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Since publicly traded Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel shares are worth a total of CN¥30.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

但我們最後的考慮也是很重要的,因爲一家公司無法用紙面收益支付債務;它需要現金。因此,我們明確地需要查看該公司的EBIT是否導致相應的自由現金流。在最近的三年中,浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎錄得了價值相當於其EBIT的65%的自由現金流,這基本正常,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這種自由現金流讓公司在適當時期償還債務處於良好的地位。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。

Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel has net debt of just 1.1 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 7.6 times, which is more than adequate. Fortunately, Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel grew its EBIT by 8.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

好消息是,浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎表現出將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力,就像一隻毛絨絨的小狗讓幼童高興一樣使我們欣喜若狂。它的淨債務/EBITDA也很不錯。當我們考慮以上各種因素時,看起來浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎在使用債務方面相當明智。雖然這帶來了一些風險,但也可以爲股東增加回報。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。我們已經確定了浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎的3個警告信號(至少有2個並不太令人滿意),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但最後,一家公司無法用紙面收益支付債務;它需要現金。因此,我們明確地需要查看該公司的EBIT是否導致相應的自由現金流。在最近的三年中,浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎錄得了價值相當於其EBIT的65%的自由現金流,這基本正常,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這種自由現金流讓公司在適當時期償還債務處於良好的地位。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zhejiang Wanfeng Auto Wheel (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

好消息是,浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎表現出將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力,就像一隻毛絨絨的小狗讓幼童高興一樣使我們欣喜若狂。它的淨債務/EBITDA也很不錯。當我們考慮以上各種因素時,看起來浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎在使用債務方面相當明智。雖然這帶來了一些風險,但也可以爲股東增加回報。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。我們已經確定了浙江萬豐奧威汽車輪胎的3個警告信號(至少有2個並不太令人滿意),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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