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What Futong Technology Development Holdings Limited's (HKG:465) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 17 18:28

Futong Technology Development Holdings Limited (HKG:465) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 107% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider Futong Technology Development Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:465 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 17th 2024

How Has Futong Technology Development Holdings Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Futong Technology Development Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Futong Technology Development Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Futong Technology Development Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Futong Technology Development Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 58%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 76% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Futong Technology Development Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Futong Technology Development Holdings' P/S

Futong Technology Development Holdings' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Futong Technology Development Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Futong Technology Development Holdings (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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