The Dingli Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:300050) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Dingli's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Communications industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
SZSE:300050 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 17th 2024
How Has Dingli Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Dingli's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dingli's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Dingli's Revenue Growth Trending?
Dingli's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.5%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 47% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dingli's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Dingli's P/S?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Dingli looks to be in line with the rest of the Communications industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look at Dingli revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Dingli you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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