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Is Fujian Highton Development (SHSE:603162) A Risky Investment?

Is Fujian Highton Development (SHSE:603162) A Risky Investment?

福建海高新發展股份有限公司(SHSE:603162)是否是一項有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/18 00:44

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Fujian Highton Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603162) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,與其擔心股價波動,不如擔心“永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險……我知道的每個實際的投資者也都擔心這個。”因此,聰明的投資者知道,這通常與破產有關的債務是評估公司風險程度的非常重要因素。我們可以看到福建海高新發展股份有限公司(上海證券交易所:603162)在業務中是使用債務的。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否會使公司變得更加冒險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無力償還債務,那麼它將須向債權人屈服。最終,如果公司無法履行法定還債義務,股東可能毫無所得。然而,更常見的(但仍然昂貴)情況是公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以修復其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助發展,而沒有任何負面影響。在考慮公司債務水平時的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Fujian Highton Development's Net Debt?

福建海高新發展的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Fujian Highton Development had debt of CN¥50.0m, up from none in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥950.8m in cash, leading to a CN¥900.8m net cash position.

下面的圖像顯示,在2024年3月,福建海高新發展的債務爲人民幣5億元,較一年前增加了,但另一方面,它也有人民幣9.508億元的現金,導致人民幣9.008億元的淨現金餘額。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603162 Debt to Equity History June 18th 2024
上海證券交易所:603162資產負債率歷史記錄2024年6月18日

A Look At Fujian Highton Development's Liabilities

從最近的資產負債表中,我們可以看到福建海高新發展在一年內到期的負債有人民幣4.803億,並有人民幣3.305億的逾期負債。此外,它有人民幣9.508億元的現金和人民幣3.757億元的應收賬款,其中12個月內到期。因此,它實際上有人民幣5.158億元,這種短期流動性跡象表明福建海高新發展可能很容易償還其債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未達到極限。簡而言之,福建海高新發展擁有的現金比債務多,這無疑是一個良好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理其債務。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Highton Development had liabilities of CN¥480.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥330.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥950.8m in cash and CN¥375.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥515.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

福建海高新發展的負債情況。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Fujian Highton Development could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Fujian Highton Development has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看出,福建海高新發展在一年內到期的負債有人民幣4.803億,並有人民幣3.305億的逾期負債。此外,它有人民幣9.508億元的現金和人民幣3.757億元的應收賬款,其中12個月內到期。因此,它實際上擁有人民幣5.158億元的流動資產。這種短期流動性表明福建海高新發展可能很容易償還其債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未達到極限。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Fujian Highton Development if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 74% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fujian Highton Development will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

如果管理層無法阻止上年EBIT下降74%的重演,福建海高新發展的債務負載的溫和性可能變得至關重要。當一家公司看到其盈利下跌時,有時會發現其與債權人的關係惡化。毫無疑問,我們最多從資產負債表中了解債務。但是,您不能將債務完全孤立起來;因爲福建海高新發展將需要收益來支付債務。因此,如果您想了解更多有關其收益的信息,最好查看其長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Fujian Highton Development has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Fujian Highton Development reported free cash flow worth 14% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤無法解決這個問題。雖然福建海高新發展在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看看它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它正在多麼快地積累(或耗盡)現金儲備也是值得一看的。在過去三年中,福建海高新發展報告的自由現金流總共是EBIT的14%,這確實很低。對我們來說,這麼低的現金轉換率引起了一點擔憂,即其償還債務的能力。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Fujian Highton Development has CN¥900.8m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Fujian Highton Development's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Fujian Highton Development (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

雖然調查公司的債務始終是明智的做法,但在福建海高新發展的情況下,其淨現金爲人民幣9.008億元,且資產負債表看起來不錯。因此,我們對福建海高新發展的債務使用並不擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的 3個警告信號(包括1個不能忽視的)。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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