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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300641) After Shares Rise 25%

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300641) After Shares Rise 25%

股價上漲25%後,正丹股份收益沒有完全反映。
Simply Wall St ·  06/19 03:17

Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300641) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 541% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 10.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300641 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 19th 2024

What Does Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 10%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 14% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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