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Is GemPharmatech (SHSE:688046) A Risky Investment?

Is GemPharmatech (SHSE:688046) A Risky Investment?

GemPharmatech(SHSE:688046)是否是一項有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/19 18:16

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, GemPharmatech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688046) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克思很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股價波動,'永久性損失的可能性是我擔心的風險...我所認識的每一位實踐投資者都在擔心。'所以看來聰明的錢知道,債務通常涉及破產,是評估公司風險性的一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,晶方生物股份有限公司(SHSE: 688046)的確有債務負擔。但真正的問題是,這些負債是否使公司具有風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債務,那麼企業就處在債權人的掌握範圍內。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更常見的情況是,企業必須以平價的股票價格稀釋股東權益,以便控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它替代了具有高回報能力的公司再投資時的權益稀釋時。當我們考慮一個公司的債務使用時,我們首先考慮現金和債務合起來。

What Is GemPharmatech's Debt?

晶方生物的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, GemPharmatech had CN¥85.2m of debt, up from CN¥32.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥1.25b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.16b net cash.

正如您下面所看到的,在2024年3月底,晶方生物的債務爲8520萬元人民幣,比一年前的3210萬元人民幣增加了。點擊圖片以獲取更多詳細信息。但它也有12.5億元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它有11.6億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688046 Debt to Equity History June 19th 2024
SHSE:688046 債務股本比歷史記錄 2024 年 6 月 19 日

How Strong Is GemPharmatech's Balance Sheet?

晶方生物的資產負債表情況如何?最新的資產負債表數據顯示,晶方生物有3408萬元人民幣的負債在明年到期,8740萬元人民幣的負債在其後到期。相應的,它有12.5億元人民幣的現金和3246萬元人民幣的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有11.4億元人民幣。

The latest balance sheet data shows that GemPharmatech had liabilities of CN¥340.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥87.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.25b in cash and CN¥324.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.14b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

這種盈餘表明晶方生物在債務使用方面是以一種既安全又保守的方式。由於其強勁的淨資產狀況,它不太可能面臨與債權人的問題。簡而言之,晶方生物比債務多現金的事實,可以認爲是它能夠安全地管理其債務的一個好標誌。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This surplus suggests that GemPharmatech is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that GemPharmatech has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

我們也注意到,晶方生物去年將EBIt增長了11%,使其債務負擔更容易處理。顯然,資產負債表是分析債務的關注重點所在。但更重要的是,未來的盈利,而不是任何事情,將決定晶方生物的維持財務平衡表的能力。所以,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。

And we also note warmly that GemPharmatech grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine GemPharmatech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務,會計利潤是不夠的。晶方生物可能有淨現金和良好的資產負債表,但查看企業如何將利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流,以此來影響其管理債務的需求和能力,這仍然是有趣的事情。在過去的三年中,晶方生物燒掉了很多現金。雖然這可能是爲了成長支出,但它確實使債務更加風險。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. GemPharmatech may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, GemPharmatech burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

雖然調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,晶方生物擁有1.16億元人民幣的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表。此外,它在過去十二個月中將EBIt增加了11%。所以我們不爲晶方生物的債務使用而苦惱。毋庸置疑,我們從資產負債表中學到了大部分有關債務的情況。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確認了2個警告信號,表示晶方生物(其中1個有點令人擔憂)的風險,你應該意識到這一點。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case GemPharmatech has CN¥1.16b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 11% in the last twelve months. So we are not troubled with GemPharmatech's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for GemPharmatech (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

成長通常意味着有一定的債務,但它應該是可行的。此刻,我們之所以不會打擾晶方生物的負債使用,是因爲它擁有1.16億元人民幣的淨現金和看起來不錯的資產負債表。此外,在過去的十二個月中,它增加了11%的EBIt。毫無疑問,資產負債表是分析債務的關注點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確認了2個警告信號,表示您應該意識到晶方生物的風險(其中1個有點令人擔憂)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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