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These 4 Measures Indicate That Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (SHSE:601019) Is Using Debt Safely

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (SHSE:601019) Is Using Debt Safely

這4項措施表明山東出版傳媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601019)正在安全使用債務。
Simply Wall St ·  06/19 22:56

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601019) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

David Iben曾經很好地說過,“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們所關心的是避免資本的永久損失。” 當你審查某家公司的風險時,考慮到公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業破產時通常涉及到債務。我們可以看到,山東出版傳媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601019)的業務確實使用了債務,但真正的問題是,這種債務是否使公司變得有風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當公司無法輕易通過籌集資金或自己的現金流償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義中的一個方方面面是'創造性破壞'的過程,失敗的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,公司不得不以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,債務可以成爲企業中的重要工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當我們思考一家公司使用債務的情況時,首先要看現金和債務的總體情況。

What Is Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Net Debt?

山東出版傳媒股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd had CN¥95.5m of debt at December 2023, down from CN¥116.6m a year prior. But it also has CN¥8.79b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥8.69b net cash.

正如下面所示,截至2023年12月,山東出版傳媒股份有限公司的債務爲9550萬人民幣,低於去年同期的11660萬人民幣。但它的現金爲879億人民幣,因此它有869億元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601019 Debt to Equity History June 20th 2024
SHSE:601019的債務股本比歷史記錄見圖(2024年6月20日)

How Healthy Is Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Balance Sheet?

山東出版傳媒股份有限公司的資產負債表狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.64b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.35b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥8.79b in cash and CN¥1.61b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.40b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

當我們審查最新的負債表數據時,我們可以看到山東出版傳媒股份有限公司在12個月內有664億人民幣的短期債務和135億人民幣的長期債務,同時它有879億人民幣的現金和161億人民幣的應收賬款在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有24億元的流動資金。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性表明,山東出版傳媒股份有限公司可能輕鬆償還其債務,因爲它的資產負債表遠未過度。簡言之,山東出版傳媒股份有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有負重的債務負擔!

Also good is that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd grew its EBIT at 14% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,山東出版傳媒股份有限公司去年EBIT增長了14%,進一步增加了其管理債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最重要的是,未來的收益將決定山東出版傳媒股份有限公司能否保持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。山東出版傳媒股份有限公司可能在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但查看企業如何將利潤(利息和稅前利潤)轉化爲自由現金流是非常有趣的,因爲這將影響它管理債務的需要和能力。令股東滿意的是,山東出版傳媒股份有限公司在過去三年內的自由現金流比EBIT還要高。這種強大的現金轉換讓我們像大碟酒會現場的群衆一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has CN¥8.69b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.9b, being 117% of its EBIT. So we don't think Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

雖然調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,山東出版傳媒股份有限公司擁有869億元的淨現金和一張看起來不錯的資產負債表。它讓我們驚喜的是在過去3年中自由現金流達到19億元,是EBIT的117%。因此,我們認爲山東出版傳媒股份有限公司的債務使用不會有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每個公司都有它們,我們發現山東出版傳媒股份有限公司有2個預警信號(其中1個是重要的!),您應該了解一下。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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