To the annoyance of some shareholders, Pengdu Agriculture & Animal Husbandry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002505) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in China's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may consider Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 14% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's P/S
Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Food companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
In line with expectations, Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Pengdu Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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