Shenzhen Soling Industrial Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002766) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 41% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 8.9% isn't as attractive.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Auto Components industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd Has Been Performing
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 60%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 27% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The large bounce in Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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