To the annoyance of some shareholders, Renrenle Commercial Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002336) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 78% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Consumer Retailing industry is similar at about 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 33%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 58% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd's P/S
Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look at Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Renrenle Commercial GroupLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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