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Getting In Cheap On Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (HKG:3898) Is Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 21 01:17

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:3898) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.2x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been advantageous for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3898 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 21st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric.

Is There Enough Growth For Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 8.0% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 12% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric with six simple checks.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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