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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002256) Shares After Tumbling 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 21 18:26

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002256) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 34% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may still consider Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy as a stock not worth researching with its 8.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002256 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 21st 2024

What Does Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.9% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 21% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's P/S

Even after such a strong price drop, Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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