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Pulling Back 4.0% This Week, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s SZSE:300620) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 4.0% This Week, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s SZSE:300620) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

光庫科技(珠海)(SZSE:300620)本週回撤4.0%,五年收益下降或許將引起投資者的關注。
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 18:33

The last three months have been tough on Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai), Ltd. (SZSE:300620) shareholders, who have seen the share price decline a rather worrying 33%. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. We think most investors would be happy with the 138% return, over that period. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. The more important question is whether the stock is too cheap or too expensive today.

過去三個月對珠海市光庫科技股份有限公司 (SZSE:300620) 的股東來說是艱難的,因爲股價下跌了33%。但這並不能改變股東在過去五年中獲得了非常不錯的回報。我們認爲大多數投資者會對這個期間內的138%回報感到滿意。我們認爲把焦點放在長期回報上比短期回報更重要。更重要的問題是股票今天是不是太便宜或太貴了。

While the stock has fallen 4.0% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

儘管該股本週下跌了4.0%,但還是值得關注股票的更長期回報,並看看它們是否基於基本面的推動。

We don't think that Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

我們認爲珠海市光庫科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 持續12個月的收益小幅上漲未能引起市場的充分關注。我們認爲收入可能是一個更好的指標。一般來說,我們認爲這種公司更應該與虧損股票進行比較,因爲實際利潤非常低。若要使股東有信心公司將實現利潤大幅增長,它必須增加收入。

In the last 5 years Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) saw its revenue grow at 15% per year. That's well above most pre-profit companies. Meanwhile, its share price performance certainly reflects the strong growth, given the share price grew at 19% per year, compound, during the period. This suggests the market has well and truly recognized the progress the business has made. Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) seems like a high growth stock - so growth investors might want to add it to their watchlist.

在過去的5年中,珠海市光庫科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 的營業收入以每年15%的速度增長,遠高於大多數未盈利的公司。同時,其股價表現在該期間內以每年19%的複合增長率增長,這顯然反映出市場已經充分認識到該企業的進展。珠海市光庫科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 看起來是一隻高增長股票——因此,成長投資者可能會將其添加到自選股清單中。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300620 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 21st 2024
SZSE:300620收益和營業收入增長2024年6月21日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表強度至關重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能很值得一看。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai), it has a TSR of 143% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報TSR包括任何分拆或打折資本募集的價值,以及任何派發的股息,基於股息再投資的假設。可以說,TSR更全面地反映了股票所產生的回報。在珠海市光庫科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 的情況下,過去5年的TSR爲143%。這超過了我們之前提到過的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market lost about 14% in the twelve months, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) shareholders did even worse, losing 43% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 19% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) .

儘管整個市場在12個月內損失了約14%,但光庫科技(珠海)的股東們的情況更糟糕,損失了43%(甚至包括分紅)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中不可避免會有一些股票被超賣。關鍵是要把眼睛盯着基本面的發展。 看到長期股東獲得了19%的年收益率,可以說是光明的一面。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此值得檢查基本數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。長期來看,我認爲股票價格是業務表現的一種代理。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。 爲此,您應該了解我們發現的光庫科技(珠海)的2個警告信號。

Of course Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,珠海市光庫科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 可能不是買入最佳的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些免費的成長股集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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