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Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600963) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 21 19:06

The Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600963) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in China's Forestry industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may consider Yueyang Forest & Paper as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600963 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 21st 2024

How Yueyang Forest & Paper Has Been Performing

Yueyang Forest & Paper could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Yueyang Forest & Paper.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Yueyang Forest & Paper's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 24%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Yueyang Forest & Paper's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Yueyang Forest & Paper's P/S?

The southerly movements of Yueyang Forest & Paper's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Yueyang Forest & Paper's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Yueyang Forest & Paper that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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