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Potential Upside For China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000066) Not Without Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 23 20:07

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Tech industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 3x, China Greatwall Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000066) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 2.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000066 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 24th 2024

How China Greatwall Technology Group Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, China Greatwall Technology Group has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think China Greatwall Technology Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Greatwall Technology Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.6% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 16% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that China Greatwall Technology Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From China Greatwall Technology Group's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

A look at China Greatwall Technology Group's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Having said that, be aware China Greatwall Technology Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Greatwall Technology Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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