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Shandong Gold Phoenix Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603586) 37% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 25 18:10

Shandong Gold Phoenix Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603586) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 37% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.1% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 28x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For example, consider that Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603586 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 25th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 52%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 8.3% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's P/E

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd's P/E is also back up to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Shandong Gold PhoenixLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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