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Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Shanghai Chemspec Corporation's (SHSE:688602) Mixed Fundamentals?

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Shanghai Chemspec Corporation's (SHSE:688602) Mixed Fundamentals?

市場對上海中世化學股份有限公司(SHSE: 688602)的基本面容忍度低嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/26 03:16

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shanghai Chemspec's (SHSE:688602) recent performance, when its stock has declined 30% over the past month. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Chemspec's ROE today.

上海科隆的(688602.SH)最近表現不佳,股票下跌了30%以上。但是,我們決定研究該公司的財務狀況,以確定其與股價下跌是否有關。通常情況下,股票價格是由公司長期的財務表現驅動的,因此我們決定更加關注該公司的財務表現。特別是,今天我們將關注上海科隆的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

roe或股東權益回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其權益資本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Chemspec is:

因此,根據以上公式,上海科隆的roe爲:

3.9% = CN¥113m ÷ CN¥2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

3.9%= CN¥1.13億 ÷ CN¥2.9億(截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回報”是每年的利潤。一種概念化的方式是,對於每個CN¥1的股東資本,公司的利潤爲CN¥0.04。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定ROE是一種有效的利潤生成標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力。我們現在需要評估公司“保留”爲未來增長而重新投資的利潤多少,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個了解。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,ROE和利潤留存高的公司,增長率比沒有這些屬性的公司要高。

Shanghai Chemspec's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

上海科隆的盈利增長和3.9%的roe

As you can see, Shanghai Chemspec's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.3%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Shanghai Chemspec over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

正如你所看到的,上海科隆的roe相當弱。即使與6.3%的行業平均roe相比,該公司的roe也相當糟糕。因此,上海科隆過去五年的平坦收益可能是它roe較低的結果。

As a next step, we compared Shanghai Chemspec's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 7.9% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將上海科隆的淨收入增長與行業進行了比較,很失望地發現該公司的增長低於同期行業平均增長率7.9%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688602 Past Earnings Growth June 26th 2024
SHSE:688602過去的盈利增長2024年6月26日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Chemspec is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

確定公司價值的基礎,在很大程度上與其盈利增長有關。投資者知道市場是否已經定價了該公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)是很重要的。這有助於他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是暗淡。一個好的預期盈利增長指標是市盈率,它決定了市場願意基於盈利前景爲一隻股票支付的價格。因此,你可能想檢查一下上海科隆是否在相對於其行業的高市盈率或低市盈率交易。

Is Shanghai Chemspec Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海科隆是否有效利用其利潤?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 27% (or a retention ratio of 73%), Shanghai Chemspec hasn't seen much growth in its earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管三年的中位數股息支付率爲27%(或保留率爲73%),上海科隆的盈利增長並不多。因此,還可能有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能在惡化。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shanghai Chemspec. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Shanghai Chemspec's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

總體而言,我們對上海科隆有不同的看法。雖然該公司具有高比率的盈利保留,但其低迴報率可能正在阻礙其盈利增長。迄今爲止,我們只是簡單地觀察了該公司的基本面,了解了其過去的表現。因此,值得查看上海科隆過去的盈利、營業收入和現金流的詳細圖表,以深入了解該公司的業績。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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