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Is Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle (SZSE:000913) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle (SZSE:000913) Using Too Much Debt?

錢江摩托(SZSE:000913)是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  06/27 18:24

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000913) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯曾經說得好:“與其擔心股價波動,我更擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……所有實際的投資者都這樣認爲。”當你考慮一家公司的風險程度時,查看其資產負債表是非常自然的,因爲債務往往與企業衰敗有關。我們可以看到,錢江摩托(股票代碼:SZSE:000913)在業務中使用了債務,但股東是否應該擔心其債務使用情況?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業開始無法付清其債務,不管是通過新的資金還是自由現金流。如果情況真的不好,放貸人可以奪取企業的控制權。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是一家公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東,以控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它代替某個公司能夠以高回報率重新投資的稀釋時。考慮企業使用多少債務的第一件事是看看其現金和債務的情況。

How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Carry?

錢江摩托承擔了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle had debt of CN¥209.1m, up from CN¥17.8m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.41b in cash, leading to a CN¥5.20b net cash position.

下面的圖片可以放大,顯示2024年3月份錢江摩托的債務爲2,0910萬元人民幣,比一年前的1,780萬元人民幣增加。但另一方面,它還持有54,100萬元人民幣的現金,形成了52億元人民幣的淨現金頭寸。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000913 Debt to Equity History June 27th 2024
SZSE:000913的負債權益歷史記錄

How Strong Is Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's Balance Sheet?

錢江摩托的資產負債表強嗎?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle had liabilities of CN¥3.22b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.51b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.41b and CN¥622.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.30b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近公佈的資產負債表,錢江摩托有32.2億元人民幣的負債到期,超過12個月的負債爲15.1億元人民幣。另一方面,它有54.1億元人民幣的現金和6,220萬元人民幣的應收款項在一年內到期。所以它可以自豪地擁有比其他多一億三千萬元人民幣的流動資產。負債。

This excess liquidity suggests that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種過剩的流動性資產表明錢江摩托在處理債務方面是很謹慎的。正因爲它擁有大量資產,所以不太可能遇到與其債權人的麻煩。總之,錢江摩托擁有淨現金,所以可以說它沒有負債負擔!

On the other hand, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's EBIT dived 17%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一方面,錢江摩托的淨息稅前利潤下降了17%。如果這種表現經常發生,股票可能會陷入困境。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務的最多。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定錢江摩托是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。如果想了解專業人士的想法,可以查看免費報告分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,企業需要有自由現金流來償還債務,會計利潤是不能勝任的。雖然錢江摩托在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其積累(或侵蝕)現金的速度。在過去的三年中,錢江摩托創造了相當強勁的自由現金流,金額相當於其EBIT的90%,超出了我們的預期。這使得它在還債方面具有非常強的實力。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle has net cash of CN¥5.20b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 90% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥308m. So we don't think Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle .

雖然我們理解那些擔心債務的投資者,但你應該記住,錢江摩托擁有52億元人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。最後,它把90%的EBIt轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了3,080萬元人民幣。所以我們不認爲錢江摩托的債務使用是冒險的,當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點,但並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表之內。因此,你應該了解我們已經發現錢江摩托的2個警告信號。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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