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Strong Week for Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (HKG:1877) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Three-year Loss

Strong Week for Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (HKG:1877) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Three-year Loss

上海君实生物(HKG:1877)股东业绩强劲,但三年亏损仍令人痛苦。
Simply Wall St ·  06/28 18:59

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. (HKG:1877) share price has gained 19% in the last three months. But that is meagre solace in the face of the shocking decline over three years. The share price has sunk like a leaky ship, down 81% in that time. So it's about time shareholders saw some gains. Only time will tell if the company can sustain the turnaround. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

近三个月来,上海君实生物科技股份有限公司(HKG:1877)股价涨了19%,虽然这不是惊人的举动,但在这三年的震荡下,这给股东们带来了些许安慰。股价像一艘漏水的船舶一样下沉,在那段时间里下跌了81%,所以股东们确实需要看到一些收益。只有时间可以证明企业能否维持这个局面。我们真的希望在价格崩盘期间持有的人有一个多样化的组合。即使你亏钱了,你也不该亏掉这个教训。

While the last three years has been tough for Shanghai Junshi Biosciences shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

虽然对于上海君实生物科技的股东来说,过去的三年很艰难,但最近的一周显示出了一些希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期的基本面,并查看它们是否成为负回报的推动力。

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

在过去的十二个月中,上海君实生物科技没有盈利,因此其股价和每股收益(EPS)之间不太可能存在强相关性。营业收入可能是我们的下一个最佳选择。一般来说,没有盈利的公司预计每年都会增加营业收入,并且增长速度很快。一些公司愿意推迟盈利,以更快地增长营业收入,但在这种情况下,人们希望有良好的公司销售增长来弥补缺乏盈利的问题。

In the last three years Shanghai Junshi Biosciences saw its revenue shrink by 37% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. The swift share price decline at an annual compound rate of 22%, reflects this weak fundamental performance. We prefer leave it to clowns to try to catch falling knives, like this stock. There is a good reason that investors often describe buying a sharply falling stock price as 'trying to catch a falling knife'. Think about it.

在过去的三年中,上海君实生物科技每年的营业收入下降了37%,这意味着它的营业收入趋势与其他亏损公司相比非常弱。每年以22%的年复合率快速下跌的股价反映出这种弱的基本面表现。我们宁愿让小丑去抓住掉落的刀子,比如这只股票。通常,投资者经常将购买急剧下跌的股票价格描述为 “试图抓住落下的刀子”,所以请想想这个比喻。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1877 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 28th 2024
2024年6月28日SEHK:1877的收益和收入增长

This free interactive report on Shanghai Junshi Biosciences' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想进一步调查股票,这份免费的交互式报告关于上海君实生物科技的资产负债表强度是一个很好的起点。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market gained around 5.1% in the last year, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences shareholders lost 49%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Junshi Biosciences better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanghai Junshi Biosciences .

尽管更广泛的市场在去年增长了约5.1%,但上海君实生物科技的股东仍亏损了49%。即使优秀的股票价格有时也会下跌,但在对业务的基本指标产生兴趣之前,我们希望看到业务基本指标的改善。可悔地,去年的表现标志着一段糟糕的进程,导致股东在过去的五年中每年面临总损失达到10%。我们知道,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾表示投资者应该在“街道上流血时买入”,但我们警告投资者首先要确定自己购买的是高质量的企业。了解更长期的股票价格表现总是有趣的。但是,为了更好地了解上海君实生物科技,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。因此,您应该注意我们发现的这一个警告信号。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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