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Is CSSC Science& Technology (SHSE:600072) Using Too Much Debt?

Is CSSC Science& Technology (SHSE:600072) Using Too Much Debt?

CSSC科技(SHSE:600072)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  06/30 20:23

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies CSSC Science& Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600072) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格背後的外部基金經理李錄很清楚,他說:“最大的投資風險不在於價格波動,而在於您是否會遭受永久性資本損失。” 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡查看其債務使用情況,因爲過載的債務可能導致破產。和許多其他公司一樣,中船科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600072)利用債務。 但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得冒險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還其債權人的債務,那麼它就要向他們低頭。在最壞的情況下,如果企業無法償還其債權人的債務,那麼它就會破產。然而,更常見的情況是企業必須以低於市價的價格發行股份,以永久性稀釋股東權益,從而鞏固其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它代替了一個公司的稀釋,使得該公司能夠以高回報率再投資時。在我們考慮債務水平時,首先考慮現金和債務水平,並加以綜合考慮。

What Is CSSC Science& Technology's Debt?

CSSC 科技的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 CSSC Science& Technology had debt of CN¥20.0b, up from CN¥774.4m in one year. However, it also had CN¥6.71b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥13.3b.

下面的圖像(單擊可擴大)顯示,2024年3月,中船科技股份有限公司的債務爲200億元人民幣,比一年前的7744萬元人民幣增加。但它也有67.1億人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲133億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600072 Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024
SHSE:600072的資產負債歷史記錄於2024年7月1日

A Look At CSSC Science& Technology's Liabilities

從最近的資產負債表中,我們可以看到中船科技股份有限公司有213億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期,162億元人民幣的負債超過一年到期。抵消這一點的是,它有67.1億元人民幣的現金和150億元人民幣的應收賬款,即將到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高158億元人民幣。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CSSC Science& Technology had liabilities of CN¥21.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥16.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.71b in cash and CN¥15.0b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥15.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

相對於其市值爲204億元人民幣,這是一座財務槓桿山。如果其放貸人要求其加強資產負債表,股東們可能會面臨嚴重股東稀釋。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到的是債務最多的信息。但您不能孤立地看待債務;因爲中船科技股份有限公司將需要盈利來支付債務。因此,如果您想了解更多有關其收益的信息,不妨查看其長期收益趨勢圖。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥20.4b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CSSC Science& Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

在過去的一年中,中船科技股份有限公司利潤和稅前虧損,並將其營收縮減了44%萬元,爲120億元人民幣。這讓我們感到緊張,至少可以這麼說。

In the last year CSSC Science& Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 44%, to CN¥12b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

雖然中船科技股份有限公司的萎縮營收不如一條溼毛巾溫馨,但其利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損無疑更不吸引人。具體而言,EBIT虧損爲7100萬元人民幣。考慮到上述負債,我們並不認爲這家公司應該使用如此多的債務。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有點緊張,但並不完全不可挽回。另一個值得警惕的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,它流出了96億元人民幣的負自由現金流。簡而言之,這是一支真正冒險的股票。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到的是債務最多的信息。但最終,每個公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如:我們發現了 CSSC 科技的4個警告信號,您應該注意,其中3個是重要的。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

While CSSC Science& Technology's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥71m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥9.6b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for CSSC Science& Technology you should be aware of, and 3 of them are significant.

伴隨中船科技股份有限公司的債務使用飆升,其外部基金經理李錄坦言:“最大的投資風險不在於價格波動,而在於您是否會遭受永久性資本損失。” 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡查看其債務使用情況,因爲過載的債務可能導致破產。和許多其他公司一樣,中船科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600072)利用債務。 但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得冒險。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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