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Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:1468) Shares May Have Slumped 38% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

キンキーファイナンシャルインターナショナル(ホールディングス)リミテッド(HKG:1468)株は38%下落した可能性がありますが、安く入ることはまだ不可能です。

Simply Wall St ·  06/30 20:36

The Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:1468) share price has softened a substantial 38% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 94% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s P/S ratio of 3.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Capital Markets industry in Hong Kong is also close to 2.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1468 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024

How Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) Has Been Performing

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s revenue has been unimpressive. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 122% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) looks to be in line with the rest of the Capital Markets industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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