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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:688425)?

股票下跌,财务状况良好:市场对中国中铁建造业重工业股份有限公司(SHSE:688425)的判断错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/30 20:41

With its stock down 7.1% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard China Railway Construction Heavy Industry (SHSE:688425). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's ROE.

由于过去三个月其股票下跌了7.1%,因此很容易忽略中国中铁重工(SHSE:688425)。但是如果仔细关注,您可能会发现其主要财务指标看起来相当不错,这意味着股票在长期内有可能上涨,因为市场通常会奖励更具韧性的长期基本面。在本文中,我们决定关注中国中铁重工的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

净资产收益率(roe)是衡量公司经营管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。换言之,它是一种利润率,衡量由公司股东提供的资本的回报率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Construction Heavy Industry is:

因此,基于上述公式,中国中铁重工的ROE为:

9.1% = CN¥1.5b ÷ CN¥17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

9.1% = CN¥ 15亿 ÷ CN¥ 170亿(基于截至2024年3月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.09.

“回报”指的是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着对于股东的每1元投资,公司可以创造0.09元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定了roe作为衡量公司未来收益的有效收益率。现在我们需要评估公司再投资或“保留”的利润,以便了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切不变,ROE和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而与不一定具备这些特征的公司相比。

A Side By Side comparison of China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's Earnings Growth And 9.1% ROE

中国中铁重工的收益增长和9.1%的ROE的并列比较

At first glance, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.9%, is definitely interesting. Having said that, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's net income growth over the past five years is more or less flat. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍一看,中国中铁重工的ROE并不令人兴奋。但是,事实上,公司的ROE高于6.9%的行业平均ROE确实是有趣的。话虽如此,过去五年中国中铁重工的净收入增长率几乎没有增长。请记住,公司的ROE一开始就有点低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,收益的低增长或持平也可能是这种结果。作为下一步,我们将中国中铁重工的净收入增长与行业进行比较,并且发现,公司的增长低于同期9.5%的行业平均增长。

As a next step, we compared China Railway Construction Heavy Industry's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 9.5% in the same period.

其次,我们将中国中铁重工的净收入增长与行业进行比较,并且发现,公司的增长低于同期9.5%的行业平均增长。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688425 Past Earnings Growth July 1st 2024
SHSE:688425过去的收益增长2024年7月1日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is China Railway Construction Heavy Industry fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

对于一个公司的价值赋予是在很大程度上与其收益增长相联系的。投资者需要确定的下一步是,预期的收益增长或其缺乏已经融入股票价格中。这样,他们将了解股票是否前往清澈的蓝水或者到达沼泽地。与其他公司相比,中国中铁重工是否公允价值?这3个估值指标可能有助于您做出决定。

Is China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中国中铁重工是否有效利用其保留收益?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%), China Railway Construction Heavy Industry hasn't seen much growth in its earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管中国中铁重工的三年中位数支出比率为29%(或保留比率为71%),但其收益增长并不多。因此,这方面可能会有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能在恶化。

In addition, China Railway Construction Heavy Industry only recently started paying a dividend so the management must have decided the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,中国中铁重工近来才开始支付股息,因此管理层必须决定股东更喜欢股息而不是收益增长。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

On the whole, we do feel that China Railway Construction Heavy Industry has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们确实认为中国中铁重工具有一些积极的属性。虽然我们看到了适度ROE和高的再投资率,但也对收益缺乏增长表示失望。 我们相信可能存在一些外部因素对业务产生了负面影响。 话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测表明,公司的收益预计将加速增长。 这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期还是基于公司的基本面?单击此处转到公司的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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