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Is Cadre Holdings (NYSE:CDRE) A Risky Investment?

Is Cadre Holdings (NYSE:CDRE) A Risky Investment?

Cadre Holdings(纽交所:CDRE)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 11:19

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Cadre Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CDRE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

著名基金经理Li Lu(Charlie Munger支持)曾说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此当你思考某一股票的风险时,需要考虑到债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮企业。我们可以看到,Cadre Holdings, Inc.(纽交所:CDRE)的业务中确实使用了债务,但这是否会对股东构成担忧呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还其债权人,它就要受他们的支配。资本主义的本质包括“创新破坏”过程,其中失败的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债公司在因贷款人迫使其以折价的价格筹集资本而永久稀释股东利益。当然,债务对于企业尤其是资本密集型企业来说可以是一种重要的工具。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平的总体情况。

How Much Debt Does Cadre Holdings Carry?

Cadre Holdings承担了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Cadre Holdings had debt of US$215.8m, up from US$146.2m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$91.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$124.9m.

下面的图片(点击可放大)显示,在2024年3月,Cadre Holdings的债务为2.158亿美元,比一年前的1.462亿美元有所增加。但是,它具有9,100万美元的现金,因此净债务约为1.249亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CDRE Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024
NYSE:CDRE Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024

How Healthy Is Cadre Holdings' Balance Sheet?

我们可以从最新的资产负债表上看到,Cadre Holdings到期负债中,有9560万美元是在一年之内到期的,有2.332亿美元是在一年之后到期的。另一方面,它拥有9,100万美元的现金和6810万美元的应收账款于一年内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款总额多出1.697亿美元。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cadre Holdings had liabilities of US$95.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$233.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$91.0m and US$68.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$169.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

当然,Cadre Holdings的市值为13.6亿美元,所以这些负债可能是可以管理的。然而,我们认为这值得关注它的资产负债表强度,因为它可能随时间而改变。

Of course, Cadre Holdings has a market capitalization of US$1.36b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

Cadre Holdings的净债务/EBITDA比率约为1.5,表明只是适度使用债务。其14.6倍的利息覆盖率使我们更加放心。另一个好的迹象是,Cadre Holdings在12个月内能够增加28%的EBIT,这让其更容易偿还债务。当你分析债务时,显然需要关注资产负债表方面。但最终企业未来的盈利能力将决定Cadre Holdings能否随时间加强其资产负债表。如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份有关分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了考察公司债务与盈利的相对关系,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比值以及其利息支出(利息保障倍数)与利润之前的利润(EBIT)的比值。这种方法的优点是,我们考虑了与债务相关的绝对量(净债务与EBITDA)和实际利息开支(利息保障倍数)的实际利润。

Cadre Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.5 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 14.6 times, makes us even more comfortable. Another good sign is that Cadre Holdings has been able to increase its EBIT by 28% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cadre Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为企业无法用纸面利润支付债务;它需要真金白银。因此,我们需要查看EBIT与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,Cadre Holdings的自由现金流总额达到了非常强劲的EBIT的91%,超出了我们的预期。这使它处于非常有利的偿还债务的位置。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Cadre Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Cadre Holdings的利息覆盖能力表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo一样轻松处理债务。更好的消息是,它将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力也支持这种印象!考虑到这一系列因素,我们认为Cadre Holdings对其债务非常谨慎,风险似乎得到了很好的管理。因此,我们认为资产负债表看起来相当健康。当然,不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表内——远非如此。例如,Cadre Holdings有3项警告信号,我们认为你应该了解它们。

Our View

我们的观点

Cadre Holdings's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Cadre Holdings is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Cadre Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点。但最终企业的未来盈利能力将决定Cadre Holdings是否可以随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想了解专业人士的看法,你可以看看这份有关分析师盈利预测的免费报告。但是,不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表内——远非如此。因此,平衡表看起来非常健康,这是我们需要关注的领域。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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