share_log

Is China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd (SZSE:000758) A Risky Investment?

Is China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd (SZSE:000758) A Risky Investment?

中國有色金屬行業板塊的外方工程建設有限公司(SZSE:000758)是否存在投資風險?
Simply Wall St ·  07/01 18:54

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and Construction Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000758) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

當David Iben說'波動性不是我們關心的風險,我們關心的是避免永久性的資本損失'時,他說得非常好。當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能會導致滅亡。與許多其他公司一樣,中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司(SZSE:000758)利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆地償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自有現金流。資本主義的本質是創造性破壞的過程,失敗的企業被銀行家無情地清算。不過,更常見的情況(但仍然痛苦的)是它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東權益。當然,很多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要看現金和債務的總和。

What Is China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's Net Debt?

中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd had debt of CN¥4.80b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥6.37b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥3.65b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.14b.

下面的圖像可以單擊以獲得更詳細的信息,它顯示中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司在2024年3月底有CN¥48億的債務,一年減少了CN¥63.7億。然而,由於它有CN¥36.5億的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲CN¥11.4億。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000758 Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024
SZSE:000758資產負債率歷史記錄2024年7月1日

A Look At China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's Liabilities

看看中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司的負債情況

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd had liabilities of CN¥7.46b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.00b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.65b in cash and CN¥3.17b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.64b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲CN¥74.6億,超過12個月到期的負債爲CN¥30億。相對抵消的是,它有CN¥36.5億的現金和CN¥31.7億的應收賬款,這些應該在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額超過其現金和短期應收賬款約CN¥36.4億。

This deficit isn't so bad because China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd is worth CN¥10.3b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

這個赤字並不糟糕,因爲中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司價值CN¥103億,因此如果需要,它很可能可以籌集足夠的資本來支撐其財務狀況。但我們一定要留意其債務是否帶來了太高的風險。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。

China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd grew its EBIT by 49% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司的淨債務只有1.1倍的EBITDA。而它的EBIt輕鬆地覆蓋了其利息支出,是其大小的10.3倍。因此,你可以說它受到的債務威脅,就像大象受到老鼠威脅一樣。此外,中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司過去12個月中的EBIt增長了49%,這種增長將使其更容易應對債務。當你分析債務時,財務狀況表顯然是要重點關注的領域。但你無法完全孤立地看待債務,因爲中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司需要利潤來償還債務。因此,如果你渴望了解更多關於其收益的信息,不妨查看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能以紙質利潤支付債務;它需要冰冷的現金。因此,邏輯的下一步是看看EBIt的比例與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIt多。在保持對貸款人的好感方面,沒有比流入現金更好的了。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and ConstructionLtd's earnings per share history for free.

好消息是中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司證明了將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力,讓我們像一隻蓬鬆的小狗讓幼兒歡欣鼓舞一樣高興。而好消息還未停止,因爲其EBIt增長率也支持這種印象!從更宏觀的角度來看,我們認爲中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司的債務使用似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔心。儘管債務確實帶來風險,但明智地利用它也可以帶來更高的股本回報率。在最重要的指標之上,我們認爲跟蹤每股收益增長的速度至關重要,如果有的話。如果你也意識到了這一點,那麼你很幸運,因爲今天你可以免費查看這個交互式圖表,了解中國有色金屬建設股份有限公司的每股盈利歷史。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論