The Sichuan Tianwei Electronic Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688511) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 28x, you may still consider Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 33.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Earnings have risen firmly for Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.2% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 75% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
There's still some solid strength behind Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd's P/E, if not its share price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com