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What SGSG Science&Technology Co., Ltd. Zhuhai's (SZSE:300561) 41% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 2 18:16

SGSG Science&Technology Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (SZSE:300561) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 41% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may consider SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai as a stock not worth researching with its 32.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300561 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 2nd 2024

What Does SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 25%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 42% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai's P/S

Shares in SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You need to take note of risks, for example - SGSG Science&Technology Zhuhai has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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