share_log

Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) Using Too Much Debt?

Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) Using Too Much Debt?

CETC数字技术有限公司(SHSE:600850)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  07/02 18:32

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600850) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

作为投资者,有人认为波动性比债务更能反映风险,但沃伦•巴菲特曾说过:“波动性远非风险同义词。” 当你评估一家公司的风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务常常是企业崩溃的原因,我们注意到电科数字(SHSE:600850)的资产负债表上确实有债务,但更重要的问题是:这些债务会创造多少风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

通常情况下,只有当公司无法通过发行股票或自有现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才成为真正的问题。在最糟糕的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人的债务,会崩溃破产。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,以控制债务。当然,有很多公司利用债务来融资增长,没有任何负面影响。考虑公司的现金和债务的总体情况是考虑其债务水平的第一步。

What Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Debt?

CETC数字科技有限公司的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥335.6m, up from CN¥242.3m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.76b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.42b net cash position.

下面的图片(点击可查看更详细信息)显示,截至2024年3月,电科数字科技有限公司的债务为3.36亿元人民币,比去年同期的2.42亿元人民币增加。但另一方面,它也有17.6亿元的现金,从而形成了14.2亿元的净现金位置。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600850 Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2024
SHSE:600850负债权益历史记录2024年7月2日

How Healthy Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

电科数字科技有限公司的资产负债表健康情况如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.95b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥460.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.76b in cash and CN¥3.09b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.57b.

根据最后一份财报披露的资产负债表显示,电科数字科技有限公司有595亿元人民币的负债在12个月内到期,有4.608亿元人民币的负债在12个月后到期。抵销这些负债,它有17.6亿元人民币的现金和309亿元人民币的预期收款再生期在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总和157亿元人民币。

Given CETC Digital TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥12.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

鉴于电科数字科技有限公司的市值为125亿元人民币,很难相信这些负债构成了太大的威胁。但是,由于它确实有应该注意的负债,我们建议股东继续关注资产负债表的变化。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但电科数字科技有限公司也拥有比债务更多的现金,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理其债务。

On the other hand, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd saw its EBIT drop by 7.5% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CETC Digital TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一方面,过去12个月,电科数字科技有限公司的EBIt下降了7.5%。如果这种情况持续下去,债务显然将变得更难处理。显然,资产负债表是分析债务时要重点关注的领域。但最终,企业未来的盈利能力将决定电科数字科技有限公司是否能随着时间推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师盈利预测免费报告会很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. CETC Digital TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd recorded free cash flow of 43% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,虽然国税局可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。虽然电科数字科技有限公司在其资产负债表上有净现金,但观察企业将其利润前利息、税、折旧和摊销(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力同样令人感兴趣,因为这将影响其管理债务的需要和能力。从最近三年的情况来看,电科数字科技有限公司记录了相对较弱的自由现金流占EBIt的43%。当涉及偿还债务时,这并不好。

Summing Up

总之

Although CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥1.42b. So we are not troubled with CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

尽管电科数字科技有限公司的资产负债表并不特别强大,但由于总负债,它明显拥有1.42亿元人民币的净现金,这是积极的。因此,我们对电科数字科技有限公司的债务使用并不担心。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的最多信息。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经发现电科数字科技有限公司有2个警告信号(其中1个是重要的),您应该注意这些风险。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发