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Gannett Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:GCI) Shares Bounce 28% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 3 06:15

Despite an already strong run, Gannett Co., Inc. (NYSE:GCI) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 116% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, Gannett's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Media industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:GCI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 3rd 2024

What Does Gannett's Recent Performance Look Like?

Gannett hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Gannett will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Gannett?

Gannett's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.2%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 19% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.2% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 4.9% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Gannett's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Gannett's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Gannett's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Gannett maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Gannett, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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