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AeroVironment (NASDAQ:AVAV) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 4 06:40

Last week's profit announcement from AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.

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NasdaqGS:AVAV Earnings and Revenue History July 4th 2024

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, AeroVironment issued 7.3% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out AeroVironment's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of AeroVironment's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

As it happens, we don't know how much the company made or lost three years ago, because we don't have the data. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

If AeroVironment's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On AeroVironment's Profit Performance

Over the last year AeroVironment issued new shares and so, there's a noteworthy divergence between EPS and net income growth. Therefore, it seems possible to us that AeroVironment's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The good news is that it earned a profit in the last twelve months, despite its previous loss. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into AeroVironment, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with AeroVironment, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of AeroVironment's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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