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Shanghai DragonNet Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300245) Stock Rockets 50% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

shanghai dragonnet technologyの株式(SZSE:300245)が50%急騰。投資家は予想よりも悲観的でないため

Simply Wall St ·  07/05 18:38

Shanghai DragonNet Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300245) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 50% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 5.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300245 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 5th 2024

What Does Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 37% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 23% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shanghai DragonNet TechnologyLtd that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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