share_log

Is Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd (SHSE:603297) A Risky Investment?

Is Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd (SHSE:603297) A Risky Investment?

宁波永新光学股份有限公司(SHSE: 603297)是否是一个高风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 19:20

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Ningbo Yongxin Optics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603297) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

当David Iben说‘波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。’时,他说得很好。当你审查风险时,考虑一家公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为一个公司倒闭时往往与债务有关。重要的是,宁波永新光学股份有限公司(SHSE:603297)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司变得更加不稳定。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业不能轻松履行负债的义务时,债务和其他负债变得具有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是以优惠价格筹集资本。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人就可以控制企业。然而,一个更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,企业不得不以低廉的价格募集新股本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,债务的优点是,它通常代表便宜的本金,尤其是在以高回报率进行再投资的能力替代稀释的公司中。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的就是查看它的现金和债务。

What Is Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's Debt?

宁波永新光学股份有限公司(Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd)的债务情况是什么?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd had CN¥40.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥939.8m in cash, so it actually has CN¥899.8m net cash.

下面的图表显示,宁波永新光学股份有限公司在2024年3月负债4000万元左右,与前一年大致相同。然而,其资产负债表显示,其持有人民币93980万元的现金,因此其净现金为人民币89980万元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603297 Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024
SHSE:603297的负债权益历史记录于2024年7月5日。

A Look At Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's Liabilities

看一下宁波永新光学股份有限公司的负债:

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd had liabilities of CN¥214.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥26.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥939.8m in cash and CN¥230.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥929.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近披露的资产负债表,宁波永新光学股份有限公司的短期负债为人民币21400万元,长期负债为人民币2660万元。与此相抵,它有人民币93980万元的现金和人民币23020万元的应收款项,这些款项在12个月内到期。因此,它可以声称拥有比债务多人民币92940万元的流动资产。负债。

This surplus suggests that Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种剩余资产表明宁波永新光学股份有限公司有保守的资产负债表,并且可能很容易消除其债务。总之,宁波永新光学股份有限公司拥有比债务更多的现金,这无疑是这家公司能够安全管理债务的一个很好的表现。如果您想了解专业人士的观点,您可能会发现分析师盈利预测免费报告有趣。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 24% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理层无法阻止宁波永新光学股份有限公司在过去一年中的EBIt下降24%,那么公司的债务负担的适度性可能变得至关重要。当公司的收入大幅下降时,有时可能会发现公司与其债权人的关系变得糟糕。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解最多的是债务方面。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定宁波永新光学股份有限公司是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's free cash flow amounted to 34% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,公司只能用实实在在的现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。尽管宁波永新光学股份有限公司在其资产负债表中有净现金,但我们仍然值得关注其将利润前利息、税项(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,这将有助于我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。在过去三年中,宁波永新光学股份有限公司的自由现金流占其EBIt的比例为34%,低于我们的预期。这种较弱的现金转换使得处理债务更加困难。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd has CN¥899.8m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ningbo Yongxin OpticsLtd (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然调查一家公司的债务状况总是明智的,但在这种情况下,宁波永新光学股份有限公司有人民币89980万元的净现金和一个看起来不错的资产负债表。因此,我们对宁波永新光学股份有限公司的债务使用没有困扰。毫无疑问,我们了解债务问题的大部分信息都来源于资产负债表。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之中。例如,我们发现了2个对于宁波永新光学股份有限公司的警告信号(其中一个有点令人担忧!)您在此之前应该知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发