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Don't Race Out To Buy Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601006) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

買いに駆け込むのはやめましょう。daqin railway社(SHSE:601006)が配当落ちするからと言って買いに走るべきではありません。

Simply Wall St ·  07/06 20:25

It looks like Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601006) is about to go ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. In other words, investors can purchase Daqin Railway's shares before the 11th of July in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 11th of July.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.38193 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.44 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Daqin Railway has a trailing yield of 6.1% on the current share price of CN¥7.22. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Daqin Railway's dividend is reliable and sustainable. As a result, readers should always check whether Daqin Railway has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Daqin Railway paid out more than half (61%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. The company paid out 110% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

Daqin Railway does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

While Daqin Railway's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Daqin Railway to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SHSE:601006 Historic Dividend July 7th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Daqin Railway's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 8.6% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. It looks like the Daqin Railway dividends are largely the same as they were 10 years ago. When earnings are declining yet the dividends are flat, typically the company is either paying out a higher portion of its earnings, or paying out of cash or debt on the balance sheet, neither of which is ideal.

The Bottom Line

Is Daqin Railway an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Daqin Railway had an average payout ratio, but its free cash flow was lower and earnings per share have been declining. It's not that we think Daqin Railway is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Daqin Railway. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Daqin Railway you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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