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Shareholders in Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (SHSE:600010) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (SHSE:600010) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前購入內蒙古包鋼股份(SHSE:600010)的股東們,現在的回報將是負的。
Simply Wall St ·  07/06 20:14

It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But no-one can make money on every call, especially in a declining market. The Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600010) is down 24% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -23% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 27% over the last three years. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 23% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 15% in the last 90 days. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 8.8% in the same timeframe.

當一隻股票表現不如預期時,肯定會讓人感到沮喪。但在下跌的市場中,沒有人能在每次開倉時賺錢。而內蒙古包頭鋼鐵聯合有限公司(SHSE:600010)在過去三年中下跌了24%,但如果包括股息在內,股東的總回報率爲-23%。這比過去三年下降了27%的市場要好。最近的買家也遇到了麻煩,在過去一年中下跌了23%。股東在最近的一段時間裏的運行甚至更加艱難,股價在過去90天內下跌了15%。但是,可以說股價受到了整個市場的影響,因爲在同一時間框架內,市場下跌了8.8%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估公司的經濟狀況是否與這些不盡如人意的股東回報同時發展並步調一致,或者兩者之間是否存在差異。因此,讓我們來看看。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

爲了概述本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的話:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但長期來看,它是一臺衡重機。思考一家公司的市場感知如何轉變的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)變化與股價變動進行比較。

Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

內蒙古包頭鋼鐵聯合有限公司在過去五年內變得盈利。我們通常希望看到股價上漲。因此,考慮到股價下跌,值得檢查一些其他指標。

Arguably the revenue decline of 3.5% per year has people thinking Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union is shrinking. And that's not surprising, since it seems unlikely that EPS growth can continue for long in the absence of revenue growth.

內蒙古包頭鋼鐵聯合有限公司的每年收入下降3.5%,這讓人們認爲該公司正在縮小規模。這並不奇怪,因爲在沒有營收增長的情況下,每股收益增長長期持續似乎不太可能。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600010 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 7th 2024
SHSE:600010的盈利和營收增長2014年7月7日。

We know that Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我們知道內蒙古包頭鋼鐵聯合有限公司的底線近來有所改善,但未來會怎樣呢?如果您正在考慮購買或出售內蒙古包頭鋼鐵聯合有限公司的股票,您應該查看這份免費的分析師利潤預測報告。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union shareholders did even worse, losing 23%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

雖然整個市場在過去12個月中損失了約17%,但內蒙古包頭鋼鐵聯合有限公司的股東卻損失了23%。話雖如此,不可避免地,在下跌的市場中,有些股票會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本面發展。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲其表現比過去半個世紀的年化損失2%還糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,在“街頭有鮮血時買入”股票,但我們警告投資者,首先要確保他們正在購買高質量的業務。

Of course Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,內蒙古包頭鋼鐵聯合有限公司可能不是最好的股票,因此您可能希望查看這些增長型股票的免費收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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