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There's Reason For Concern Over Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603030) Massive 26% Price Jump

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Groupの株価が26%も急騰したことに懸念の理由がある

Simply Wall St ·  07/06 21:05

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603030) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 37% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Professional Services industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603030 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 7th 2024

How Has Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd Performed Recently?

For instance, Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 47%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 83% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 45% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Trendzone Holdings GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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