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Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301231) 28% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 7 10:17

Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301231) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 44% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development as a stock not worth researching with its 5.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301231 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 7th 2024

What Does Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 30% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's P/S?

Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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