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Is ESCO Technologies (NYSE:ESE) A Risky Investment?

Is ESCO Technologies (NYSE:ESE) A Risky Investment?

esco科技(纽交所:ESE)是否是一项有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/07 10:50

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that ESCO Technologies Inc. (NYSE:ESE) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

作为一名投资者,有人认为波动性比债务更能反应风险,但是沃伦•巴菲特曾经说过“波动性和风险远非同义词。”在评估公司的风险时,自然而然会考虑其资产负债表,因为当企业垮台时常常与债务有关。我们可以看到esco科技(NYSE:ESE)的业务中确实有债务。但更重要的问题是,这些债务到底带来了多少风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

通常情况下,只有在公司无法通过筹集资本或利用其自有现金流来轻松偿还债务,或者说如果事情变得真的很糟糕,贷款人才会接管企业。不过,更常见但仍然令人痛苦的情况是,公司必须以低价募集新的股本资金,从而永久性地稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务,并从中获益。当我们考虑公司的债务使用情况时,首先看的是现金和债务共同表现。

What Is ESCO Technologies's Net Debt?

esco科技的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 ESCO Technologies had debt of US$191.0m, up from US$161.0m in one year. However, it also had US$59.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$131.6m.

下方图片显示,esco科技于2024年3月的债务为1.91亿美元,较一年前的1.61亿美元有所增加,但该公司也有5.94亿美元的现金,因此其净债务为1.316亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ESE Debt to Equity History July 7th 2024
NYSE:ESE债务与股本历史记录截至2024年7月7日。

How Strong Is ESCO Technologies' Balance Sheet?

esco科技的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ESCO Technologies had liabilities of US$288.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$328.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$59.4m as well as receivables valued at US$326.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$231.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

按照最近一份财务报表,esco科技的负债中有2.889亿美元的短期负债和3.289亿美元的长期负债。抵消这些负债,公司有5.94亿美元的现金和3,268万美元的应收账款,这些账款在12个月内到期。那么,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多2.315亿美元。

Since publicly traded ESCO Technologies shares are worth a total of US$2.65b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

作为一家总市值达26.5亿美元的上市公司,其负债水平似乎并不会构成重大威胁。尽管如此,我们仍然需要继续关注其资产负债表,以防其恶化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。

ESCO Technologies's net debt is only 0.69 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that ESCO Technologies grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ESCO Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

esco科技的净债务只有其EBITDA的0.69倍。且其EBIT远超其利息支出,即为其利息支出的12.9倍。因此,我们对其超保守的债务使用感到相当放心。我们也热情地注意到,去年esco科技的EBIT增长了15%,这使得其负债变得更容易处理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中可以了解债务的大多数情况。但最终企业的未来盈利能力将决定esco科技能否随着时间推移增强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的想法,您可能会发现分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, ESCO Technologies recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

但我们最后需要考虑的也非常重要,因为公司无法用虚假利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬的现金。所以,我们的合乎逻辑的步骤是查看该EBIT中实际自由现金流的比例。在最近的三年中,esco科技的自由现金流占其EBIT的比例为52%,这是正常水平,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税金。这些冷硬的现金意味着它可以在想要偿还债务时减少其债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, ESCO Technologies's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like ESCO Technologies is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of ESCO Technologies's earnings per share history for free.

令人欣喜的是,esco科技的利息覆盖率令人印象深刻,这意味着它在债务上占了一定优势。更好的消息是,其净债务与EBITDA也支持了这种印象!当我们考虑上述因素范围时,看起来esco科技在其债务使用方面相当明智。这意味着他们在为了提高股东回报而承担一些风险。在大多数其他指标之上,如果EPS增长速度有所增长,我们认为跟踪其增长速度是最重要的。如果您已经认识到这一点,那么您很幸运,因为今天您可以免费查看ESCO Technologies股票的交互式EPS历史图表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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