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Apple's 'Path To $4 Trillion': iPhone 16 AI Supercycle Sparks Analyst Optimism

Apple's 'Path To $4 Trillion': iPhone 16 AI Supercycle Sparks Analyst Optimism

蘋果的“4萬億之路”:iPhone 16 人工智能超級週期激發分析師的樂觀情緒
Benzinga ·  07/08 11:31

Investors and tech enthusiasts alike are closely watching Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), with the upcoming iPhone 16 and its AI-driven features generating significant buzz.

投資者和技術愛好者都在密切關注蘋果公司(納斯達克:AAPL),即將推出的iPhone 16以及其人工智能驅動功能引起了極大的關注。

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives sees Apple on the "path to $4 trillion" and recently addressed the catalysts that are driving this growth.

Wedbush的分析師Daniel Ives認爲蘋果正在“邁向4萬億之路”,並最近談到了推動其增長的催化劑。

China – 'Linchpin Of Growth' For Apple

中國——蘋果增長的支柱

Recent supply chain checks in Asia reveal positive signs of iPhone stabilization, a crucial indicator as Apple gears up for the iPhone 16 launch.

最近在亞洲進行的供應鏈檢查顯示出iPhone市場的積極跡象,這是蘋果爲iPhone 16推出做好準備的重要指標。

Following a better-than-expected March quarter, optimism for iPhone growth is emerging in various markets. Ives predicts that June will mark the last quarter of negative growth for Apple in China, with a turnaround expected in the September quarter.

在經歷了一個超出預期的三月季度後,iPhone市場前景在各個市場出現了樂觀的情況。Ives預計,6月將標誌着蘋果在中國銷售下滑的最後一個季度,而反彈將在9月季度出現。

Ives says "China remains the linchpin of growth for Apple and now this key region is set to see growth once again starting with iPhone 16."

Ives認爲,“中國仍然是蘋果增長的支柱,現在這個關鍵地區將再次實現增長,而iPhone 16將是開端”。

Up Ahead – A Golden AI Upgrade Cycle For Apple

接下來,蘋果將迎來一次黃金人工智能升級週期

Since the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) in early June, confidence has been growing in the Asian supply chain regarding the iPhone 16's potential.

自6月初的全球開發者大會(WWDC)以來,亞洲供應鏈對iPhone 16潛力的信心一直在增長。

Ives believes this AI-driven upgrade could represent "a golden upgrade cycle for Cupertino looking ahead with pent-up
demand building globally." Cupertino is poised to become "gatekeepers of the consumer AI Revolution," with the integration of Apple Intelligence.

Ives相信,這次人工智能驅動的升級可能代表着“庫比蒂諾的黃金升級週期”,未來將會出現全球的需求。庫比蒂諾註定將成爲“消費者人工智能革命的門戶”,實現蘋果智能的整合。
這種整合意味着開發者和像Meta Platforms Inc(納斯達克:META)和Alphabet Inc(納斯達克:GOOG)(納斯達克:GOOGL)這樣的科技巨頭可能需要將他們的人工智能模型納入蘋果的生態系統中。

This integration means developers and tech giants like Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) and Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) will likely need to incorporate their AI models into Apple's ecosystem.

也就是說,蘋果與其他公司合作,共同實現人工智能技術的整合,可能帶來硬體和軟件方面的多元化收入,並伴隨着一個新的營收增長,每股增加30到40美元。

Read Also: Apple's Most-Awaited Siri AI Upgrade Will Not Come Until 2025: Report

閱讀更多:蘋果最受期待的Siri人工智能升級將在2025年之前不會到來:報告

Monetization Opportunities For Apple

蘋果的貨幣化機會

Ives also noted that the partnership with OpenAI is creating a global highway for developers to focus on iOS 18, paving the way for monetization opportunities for Apple.

Ives還指出,與OpenAI的合作正在爲開發者們創建一個全球高速公路,專注於iOS 18,爲蘋果鋪平了貨幣化之路。

He estimates that this could lead to an annual incremental growth of $10 billion in high-margin services for Apple. This AI wave is expected to generate a new, multi-pronged revenue stream driven by both hardware and software, potentially adding $30 to $40 per share.

他估計,這可能導致蘋果高利潤服務領域每年增長100億美元。這場人工智能浪潮有望產生新的多元化收入流,並帶來硬件和軟件方面的盈利,每股可能增加30至40美元。

Why Wedbush Is Bullish On Apple

Wedbush看好蘋果的原因

Ives maintains an Outperform rating and a $275 price target for Apple, underpinned by several key factors:

Ives認爲蘋果有幾個關鍵因素支持其Outperform評級和275美元的目標價:

  • Achievable iPhone Estimates: Current iPhone estimates for 2024 are within reach, with 2025 estimates seen as conservative.
  • Pent-Up Demand: The AI-driven supercycle is poised to unleash significant demand, with an estimated 270 million iPhones not upgraded in over four years. This is to begin with iPhone 16, this fall.
  • Solid Services Growth: Apple's services sector remains robust, with double-digit growth providing critical valuation support.
  • AI Integration: Ives sees monetization opportunities across both services and hardware opening up with AI integration into Apple's ecosystem.
  • Unmatched Installed Base: Apple boasts the strongest installed base globally, with 2.2 billion iOS devices.
  • 可實現的iPhone估值:當前2024年的iPhone估值是可以實現的,2025年的估值被視爲保守。
  • 需求壓力大: 人工智能驅動的超級週期將釋放巨大的需求,估計有27000萬個iPhone已經超過四年沒有升級了,這將從今年秋季的iPhone 16開始。
  • 穩健的服務領域:蘋果的服務領域仍然表現出強勁的勢頭,高速增長對蘋果至關重要。
  • 人工智能整合:艾夫斯認爲,將人工智能整合到蘋果的生態系統中,可以在服務和硬件方面開拓賺錢的機會。
  • 無與倫比的用戶基礎:蘋果在全球擁有最強大的22億iOS設備用戶基礎。

As the market begins to recognize the transformative potential of Apple Intelligence and the upcoming iPhone 16, Ives' bullish stance suggests that Apple's journey towards a $4 trillion valuation is just beginning.

隨着市場開始認識到人工智能和即將到來的iPhone16的變革潛力,艾夫斯的看好態度表明,蘋果邁向4萬億美元的估值之旅才剛剛開始。

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