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日経平均は小幅続伸、下値の堅さが意識されて切り返す

The Nikkei Average continues to rise slightly, with attention being paid to the firmness of the downside and trimming.

Fisco Japan ·  Jul 9 23:11

The Nikkei average rose slightly. It closed at 41,635.53 yen (volume approximately 0.85 billion shares), up 55.36 yen (+0.13%) from the previous day.

US stocks were mixed on the 9th. The Dow Jones Average fell 52.82 dollars (-0.13%) to 39,291.97 dollars, the Nasdaq rose 25.55 points (+0.14%) to 18,429.29, and the S&P 500 rose 4.13 points (+ 0.07%) to 5,576.98 after trading. In anticipation of testimony from Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board (FRB), the market remained watchful and trading was mixed after the start of trading. Due to the mention of recent data showing a slowdown in the economy and labor market in his testimony, the Dow turned downward due to caution. In contrast, the Nasdaq continued to buy high-tech products, and updated its record high for the 6th consecutive time, ending mixed.

In the midst of mixed ups and downs in US stocks, the Tokyo market opened with selling pressure as profit-taking followed the sharp rise yesterday. Semiconductor stocks showed a weak trend, but financial stocks such as insurance, banks, and securities were generally bought, and the Nikkei average rebounded. Although it did not update the all-time high during trading hours (41,769.35 yen on July 9th), it was well-supported by the resilience of the downside.

In the Nikkei average adopted stocks, Mitsubishi Motors<7211> rose significantly due to expectations of an upward investment judgment by US securities companies; insurance stocks Tokyo Marine<8766> and MS&AD<8725> updated their record highs since listing (considering split); and T&D Holdings<8795> set a new record high for the year. In addition, Sapporo HD<2501>, Suzuki<7269>, HOYA<7741>, and Mitsukoshi Isetan<3099> were bought.

On the other hand, although it revised its medium-term management plan and raised its operating profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026 to 46 billion yen, GS Yuasa<6674> widened its decline because it did not meet market expectations, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries<7011> continued to fall. In addition, semiconductor stocks such as Laser Tech<6920>, Socionext<6526>, and Screen Holdings<7735> also did not perform well.

In terms of industry, insurance, securities and commodity futures trading, precision instruments, banking, and marine transportation increased, while machinery, warehousing and transportation-related industries, real estate, wholesale trade, pulp and paper declined.

The exchange rate is hovering around 161.50 yen per dollar, with a tendency for a weaker yen and stronger dollar compared to the previous day. With Powell FRB's congressional testimony having been almost the same as previous statements, anticipation for an early rate cut has faded. The yield on 10-year US government bonds in after-hours trading is slightly up at 4.30%. Powell FRB's congressional testimony will also be given tonight, but it is expected that "data dependent" stance from last night will remain and will not be considered as a factor.

Yesterday's Tokyo market is said to have induced buying back of futures due to high expectations for Powell FRB's congressional testimony, but expectations for an early rate cut have retreated contrary to those expectations. Nevertheless, the Nikkei average and TOPIX remain at record highs. The background to the sharp rise yesterday is not only due to short covering, but also because some investment funds flowed in. There are also rumors that oil money, mainly large-cap stocks, has flowed in. The Nikkei average and TOPIX in the afternoon can also be expected to rise slightly.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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