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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc. (NYSE:SOI) After Shares Rise 34%

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 11 08:24

The Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc. (NYSE:SOI) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 34%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 26%.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.2x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 17x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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NYSE:SOI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 22% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 12%.

With this information, we find it concerning that Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure's P/E?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure's P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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