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Revenues Not Telling The Story For AVIT Ltd. (SZSE:300264) After Shares Rise 33%

Revenues Not Telling The Story For AVIT Ltd. (SZSE:300264) After Shares Rise 33%

随着股价上涨33%,AVIt有限公司(SZSE:300264)的收入未能体现真实的情况。
Simply Wall St ·  18:54

AVIT Ltd. (SZSE:300264) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 33% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 23% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking AVIT is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 18.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's IT industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SZSE:300264 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024

How AVIT Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at AVIT over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for AVIT, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is AVIT's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as AVIT's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 21% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that AVIT's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shares in AVIT have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of AVIT revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for AVIT that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AVIT, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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